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Forex. The next day, PL effect Implied Probability and Expectation Pricing The link between vanilla option prices and probability Application to proprietary trading An introduction to exotics: Expectation pricing: using the probability distribution to price derivatives Why exotic prices are non-unique Workshop: from vanilla prices to probability The Volatility Surface Origins and meaning of the surface Shape Call options trading explained, smile and call options trading explained causes Link to credit risk: from default Other interpretations Termstructure and roll-down The dynamics of the surface Stickiness and others Realised dynamics of the surface Theory, practice, and traders biases Effect of exlained dynamics on delta calculation Examples of calculations Risk to the surface Reporting vega by bucket Calculating skew and smile exposures comparison to volga and vanna tricks and pitfalls Call options trading explained the volatility surface 3 ways to trade skew Term structure trades Optiobs and curvature trades Parameterisation, interpolation, or grid of numbers.
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